Zero Emission Vehicles: Forecasting Fleet Scenarios and their Emissions Implications
Vehicle electrification is one of the emerging and potentially disruptive technologies that are being
considered to reduce emissions of criteria pollutants, mobile source air toxics (MSATs), and greenhouse
gases (GHGs) from motor vehicles.
The TRB National Cooperative Highway Research Program's
NCHRP Web-Only Document 274: Zero Emission Vehicles: Forecasting Fleet Scenarios and their Emissions Implications analyzes a set of scenarios of infrastructure development, policy
changes, and cost parameters, with a suite of 49 simulations across those scenarios
conducted to assess their impact on nationwide zero emission vehicle (ZEV) adoption and the corresponding
levels of exhaust emissions.
The model used in the scenarios analysis is a consumer choice model that estimates future sales, populations, and fuel
consumption of advanced technology vehicles (ATVs), including ZEVs.
There is also a
Power Point presentation accompanying the document.
This Summary Last Modified On: 2/3/2020